Accelerating Global Warming Impacts & Local Economic Risks 🌡️

• National Impact & Risks: - El Niño-driven low rainfall has reduced dry-zone reservoir capacity below 40%, leaving thousands of minor tanks dry. - Threatens domestic drinking water and raises sharp uncertainty over the 2026/2027 Maha cultivation season, directly imperiling agriculture and rural livelihoods. • Global Disasters & Climate Context: - Nepal Glacier Collapse: Ice/rock collapse generated severe flash floods, destroying settlements, roads, and hydropower infrastructure, leaving hundreds dead. - Global Heatwaves: 2015–2025 marked the 11 hottest years on record. Europe saw summer temperatures near 43°C, while Victoria, Australia lost over 400,000 hectares to January 2026 bushfires. • Emissions Gap & Policy Outlook: - Oceans absorb 91% of excess atmospheric heat. Current policies put global warming on track for ~2.8°C by 2100—far above the Paris Agreement target of 1.5°C–2.0°C. - Mitigating future economic losses requires urgent transition toward renewable energy (solar, wind, hydro) and investment in climate-resilient agriculture and early warning systems.