🚨 Fitch: Political Flare-Ups Risk for APAC EM Sovereigns in 2026

• Fitch Ratings projects political flare-ups will remain a key credit risk for several Asia-Pacific emerging market sovereigns in 2026. • This follows significant political unrest seen in 2025 in countries including Indonesia, the Maldives, Mongolia, Nepal, and the Philippines. • Economic Impact: Instability typically hurts near-term economic activity by damaging consumer and business confidence. • External balances face risk as inflows of tourists, remittances, or investment may be negatively affected, alongside potential capital outflows. • Sustained tensions can be a significant drag, potentially pressuring governments to loosen fiscal policy, negatively affecting public finances. • The risk is amplified if unrest leads to government falls or major shifts in established institutions/policy. • Resilience: Sovereigns with strong credit buffers, such as lower debt and larger fiscal/external reserves, are better positioned to withstand temporary disruption. (e.g., Nepal's 'BB-' rating affirmation cited its strong external liquidity and modest debt).