Sri Lanka Facing High Risks in Global Foresight Scenarios 📈

• Economic Impact: Cyclone Ditwah (2025) caused US$ 4.1 Bn in direct physical damage, with overall economic losses reaching US$ 6–7 Bn (7% of GDP). Sri Lanka ranks in the highest risk "red zone" in the Asia-Pacific per the Global Climate Risk Index 2025. • Sector Vulnerabilities: Emerging global trade blocs could impose carbon tariffs and limit green technology access. Key export sectors including tea, spices, and garments (part of apparel & textiles) face severe non-competitiveness if excluded from major economic blocs. • Foresight Matrix & Risks: Under fragmented global scenarios (2026–2031), reduced institutional support could lead to capital withdrawal, brain drain in ICT/BPM and skilled labor, and supply chain disruptions. • Corporate & Strategic Focus: Businesses must build operational redundancies (power, water, logistics) and prioritize adaptation and resilience over simple climate awareness.